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[体育菠菜心得方法] 【转帖】运用心理学分析足球盘口(二)
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1#
  同样的操盘手法也出现在切沃对科莫的比赛中。本场比赛本来毫无悬念,但在庄家的巧妙操盘下,却成为最大的冷门候选,两队的实力和状态显然不在一个档次。切沃经过几轮的平淡后,上周在客场大胜皮亚琴察,“飞驴”再度起飞;科莫则仍然是意甲的垫底球队。本场正常盘口应为主队让一球,但澳门只是开出了半球/一球的盘口,从水位看也比较支持切沃获胜。似乎有很大的诱上盘嫌疑,但如此明显的手法应该不是庄家本意,澳门方面正是要给投者造成此错觉,受注后很有可能升盘,进一步确立投注者下注科莫的决心。所以本场庄家其实是在诱下盘,切沃也顺利拿到了3分。# Z- W6 d( F9 x: Y. p$ H9 C! P
  同样战例并不罕见。在罗马对都灵的比赛中,从盘口上看,罗马好像完全失去了庄家的信任,上轮完胜雷吉纳的表现丝毫没有引起注意,反倒是都灵客场逼平难缠的乌迪内斯让人看到了反弹的希望。庄家开出平手/球的盘口,罗马又是高水,显然就是表明看低罗马的立场。这种表现又是在诱下盘,结果罗马取得连胜。还有乌迪内斯主场与罗马的比赛。稍占优势的主队仅被开出平手盘,一方面作出诱下主队的假象,另一方面表示看低主队,受注后再变为平手/半球盘,进一步将筹码引至下盘,结果主队顺利取胜。乌迪内斯一直表现平稳,主场始终保持不败,罗马则每况愈下。正常开盘即便是主队让平手/半球也不为过,不过由于罗马名气大,乌迪内斯取胜始终让人难以接受,因此,如果开出乌迪内斯让球的盘口,就会明确表露出看好主队的意图,现在庄家只是开出平手盘,明显对主队有利,投注者会觉得庄家有诱下主队的嫌疑,而且由于两队往往在被看好时输盘,投注者反而不会选择乌迪内斯。本场比赛盘口在受注后又变为平手/半球,将筹码赶往下盘,而乌迪内斯也果然如愿胜出。这类手法在意甲多次出现,几周前布雷西亚对佩鲁贾的比赛与之如出一辙。
5 {0 x/ E; ~7 Z; ^" Q5 \6 J( L* ^  对于德甲拜仁客场挑战汉诺威之战,笔者则由于没能利用此心理分析,坠人了庄家的陷阱。由于汉诺威第一轮大爆冷门,因此我们将本场断定为庄家在诱下汉诺威。“汉诺威上周一手制造了惊天大冷,已在投注者心中拥有良好印象。本周虽然面对联赛霸主拜仁,但大众必然期待其在主场再创奇迹,但澳门方面显然不为所动,坚决开出半球/一球的盘口,这意味着客场作战的拜仁赢一球才赢一半,何况该队面对的是一支呼声甚高的球队,由此可见庄家之有恃无恐,同时更为主队开出高水,坚决要将筹码逼往下盘,因此庄家其实对拜仁信心十足,汉诺威神话难以再现。”其实汉诺威在第一轮结束后备受青睐,庄家开盘较深正是为了吓退投注者,与前面提到的第一种情况如出一辙,而汉诺威也果然在主场再度爆冷赢盘。
& |9 @% V! P/ j( p7 g  从以上事例中我们可以做出总结,巧妙运用心理学分析足球盘口,充分把握庄家的心理,才能在选择赔率组合时做到稳超胜券。
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2#
努力学习 不断提高
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3#
回复 1# miracle20
) L8 F7 v7 ?* h& i, [
4 s1 ]; i4 h& G6 }0 t0 p4 i2 n( s' E9 }
    学习了,,,,,,,
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一直在学习中的
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主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
文章不错,但是我看不懂:Q
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小超人你跑路了吗
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一直在学习中的
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