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我有个感觉,盘口基本上都是真实的,也的确能表达出对阵双方某一个阶段的实力,注意,是某一个阶段,同样的我们知道,不管任何球队的状态都会在赛季中多多少少有些起伏,而我们大多数人的强队观念,致使盘口这个重要的东西在某一阶段失去了它本身具有的令我们能正确判断的能力,为什么会这样,这就是人的惯性思维。
4 w* F% D; n. G; f另外一点就是我们自己创造出来的球队基本面,在很多时候都是错误的,这点我们和博彩公司比起来是最弱势的一方,也是特定的某个阶段和特定的某个球队基本面也许我们开始就是以错误的东西去判断一场比赛的结果,哪么他就不会正确,这就是盘口对于我们玩家来说他最大的作用,简单说就是,结合球队的基本面我们认为博彩公司开出的盘口是“正确”的符合实际情况的盘口的时候,却在我们不知道的情况下,博彩公司掌握了我们并不知道的信息,这个我们认为的正确盘口,在特定的某个阶段他就是错误的,这就是我们总是认为自己掌握了一种方法,而当我们用到实战中时,他只是会在某个阶段正确率高,而并不能得到我们预想中的正确率的原因。4 G$ |" G3 d, y& k; ]6 H) f
" A% V! `* L8 H6 z8 ~ m8 h6 d" x+ Z+ g& `% v$ ^+ q; S$ x5 U. o
总结一点:盘口只是在某个特定阶段我们在信息有限的情况下,根据我们惯有的思维判断博彩开出某个特定对象的对阵基本面,当然在某个阶段它是真实的反映出了两个交战对象的真世界本面基本面。这种情况下,我们各自掌握的方法能正确的预测到比赛结果。但是在某个特定阶段,某个特定球队开出的盘口它本身也是真是的,只是我们掌握信息的弱势会误认为他是正确的或者他是错误的,而这取决于我们对基本面的掌握,这就是盘口。盘口本身都是真实的,关键在于我们对某个阶段的基本面把握会做出误导自己的正确选择。9 R# e5 |- Z/ \1 s- j$ _
水位是真正决定一场比赛结果的钥匙,但是又有谁能真正的理清了其中的关系,水位的问题仁者见仁智者见智,我也说不清,所以只是说出自己的大郅理解,也为我认为没有人能说清一场比赛中水位变化所代表的真正意图,因为在不能掌握真正的核心基本面的时候,再去谈正确掌握水位变化的真实意图那是痴人说梦。3 A+ M- ~2 x1 O" U# y; _0 `
总之那些冷门笼统概括起来就是,惯性思维误导了我们自己去正确的理解盘口,而无法正确的理解盘口的基础上再去分析水位的变化只会错的更多,最后概括,盘口,水位就是影响我们对比赛做出正确判断的工具,而这个工具的真正拥有人是博彩公司而不是我们玩家,所以大多时候他都是为了博彩公司的利益服务的,而只有某个特定阶段他才有规律可循,他只在某个特定阶段为我们玩家服务,大多数时候他都会把我们误导到博彩公司的利益对立面,这就是我对盘口和水位的理解。' r9 |
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