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[lastpost] => 2688262 Anthony Scaramucci断言比特币在此期间将以17.6万美元的价格交易(转) 1731738186 中大奖
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[虚拟币交流]
加密货币惨遭抛售 考验信奉比特币是“数字黄金”的投资者(转)
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加密资产本轮抛售正在罕见地考验一条业内信条,这一信条认为,比特币等同于“数字黄金”,因此,纳入资产投资组合可以对冲股市波动。/ k, N& e# G( a/ L
: w7 s+ h: Q: ]; V1 }4 g: s 随着周一股市大跌和套利交易平仓,比特币的表现更像股票而不是黄金,一度暴跌17%,跌破50,000美元,之后收复部分失地。彭博汇编数据显示,比特币与贵金属7月份变成了负相关。0 c0 D; P; g ]6 U' C
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“认为机构投资者配置比特币的原因跟配置黄金的原因相同,这种想法不切实际,”eToro分析师Josh Gilbert表示,“这两种资产在投资组合中扮演的角色不一样。”6 w# s L/ U7 }7 B
" u5 B, |! t& ^5 U" X 相反,一些观察人士认为,比特币的大幅下跌证明,加密货币这类资产特别容易跟潜在威胁同步——例如美联储等太久才降息,令经济陷入衰退。“如果投资者感到恐慌或寻求去杠杆,加密货币往往是首选资产,”Gilbert表示。 g8 p6 ~* {$ E. o5 P' @8 l' `* K
' R- J- K; l: @3 v/ |0 t/ \ 追根溯源,把比特币和黄金相提并论一定程度上是因为其各自的稀缺性。1 W+ ~+ a# C* `8 N. g% k5 j, Y, G
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一些分析师不愿意放弃比特币即黄金的论点——或者至少有一天它可能成为现实的想法。! K1 V Y" n% y+ w
# R/ z. @; {4 h “许多投资者将比特币视为一种风险投资,押注其未来会成为数字黄金,”Galaxy Research研究主管Alex Thorn周一在报告中写道,“比特币跟黄金不同,主权国家、央行或机构投资者尚未普遍持有比特币。”/ o# v2 _3 B2 Y
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独立交易员Bob Loukas指出,周一的抛售十年难遇,这让人很难判断市场后续会出现哪种走势。他认为,调整可能会持续至9月中旬,然后在某个时刻出现强劲反弹。' Q5 _9 ?( ]$ h {
2 _* a8 Z4 }5 j0 H* |% Z分析师McKenna则警告比特币投资者不要指望短期内会出现多大改善,更可能是长达1-2个月的横盘整理。
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