优惠论坛
Well123
注册
找回密码 |
天策评选的优秀公司,所有会员与公司发生的问题我们将负责尽力协助处理。
收起/展开
新晋公司
 

新晋公司具有驻站代表,并不在论坛纠纷服务范围内,请会员自行判断选择

  • 356
S级信誉公司
ManBetX万博
YZ
12BET
乐天堂
乐投
188金宝博
E世博
A级信誉公司
吉祥坊
星宝合营
乐动体育
B级信誉公司
bet365
C级合作公司
CMP
金星
LOKI
平博
  • 推荐主题
  • 热门活动
  • 币圈快讯
  • 商城动态
重要通知
 
天策搜索
论坛搜索
              搜索
Array ( [fid] => 6728 [description] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮! [password] => [icon] => 7c/common_6728_icon.png [redirect] => [attachextensions] => [creditspolicy] => Array ( [digest] => Array ( [usecustom] => 1 [cycletype] => 0 [cycletime] => 0 [rewardnum] => 1 [extcredits1] => 0 [extcredits2] => 0 [extcredits3] => 0 [extcredits4] => 0 [extcredits5] => 0 [extcredits6] => 0 [extcredits7] => 0 [extcredits8] => 0 [rid] => 3 [fid] => 6728 [rulename] => 加精华 [action] => digest [fids] => 6966,6903,6944,6958,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728 ) [post] => Array ( [usecustom] => 1 [cycletype] => 1 [cycletime] => 0 [rewardnum] => 5 [extcredits1] => 0 [extcredits2] => 0 [extcredits3] => 0 [extcredits4] => 0 [extcredits6] => 0 [extcredits5] => 0 [extcredits7] => 0 [extcredits8] => 0 [rid] => 1 [fid] => 6728 [rulename] => 发表主题 [action] => post [fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6929,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728 ) [reply] => Array ( [usecustom] => 1 [cycletype] => 1 [cycletime] => 0 [rewardnum] => 0 [extcredits1] => 0 [extcredits2] => 0 [extcredits3] => 0 [extcredits4] => 0 [extcredits6] => 0 [extcredits5] => 0 [extcredits7] => 0 [extcredits8] => 0 [rid] => 2 [fid] => 6728 [rulename] => 发表回复 [action] => reply [fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6929,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728 ) ) [formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";} [moderators] => [rules] => 1)发布主题帖+1经验+1活跃币,回贴+10华小分
2)Lv.1及其以上级别会员可以发布主题帖,Lv.1及其以上会员可以回帖
4)转帖请在主题上标明
5)禁止发布与本版块无关的主题(违反,帖子转移到相关版块,并扣50经验
6)禁止回复与主题无关的帖子(违反,帖子删除,并扣10经验 [threadtypes] => Array ( [required] => 1 [listable] => 1 [prefix] => 1 [types] => Array ( [137] => 体育菠菜玩法规则 [138] => 体育菠菜心得方法 [139] => 体育菠菜问题咨询 ) [icons] => Array ( [137] => [138] => [139] => ) [moderators] => Array ( [137] => [138] => [139] => ) ) [threadsorts] => Array ( ) [viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 81 83 84 87 89 90 91 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8 92 [postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92 [replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92 [getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92 [postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92 [postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92 [spviewperm] => [seotitle] => [keywords] => 足球,篮球,体育,规则,打法 [seodescription] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!<br /><a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/thread-51289-1-1.html" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜新人必看】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=33" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜规则】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=34" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜心得】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=100" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜问题咨询】</font></a> [supe_pushsetting] => [modrecommend] => Array ( [open] => 0 [sort] => 0 [orderby] => 2 [num] => 10 [imagenum] => 5 [imagewidth] => 200 [imageheight] => 150 [maxlength] => 0 [cachelife] => 900 [dateline] => 0 ) [threadplugin] => Array ( ) [replybg] => [extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";} [jointype] => 0 [gviewperm] => 0 [membernum] => 0 [dateline] => 0 [lastupdate] => 0 [activity] => 0 [founderuid] => 0 [foundername] => [banner] => [groupnum] => 0 [commentitem] => [relatedgroup] => [picstyle] => 0 [widthauto] => 0 [noantitheft] => 0 [noforumhidewater] => 0 [noforumrecommend] => 0 [livetid] => 0 [price] => 0 [fup] => 6831 [type] => forum [name] => 体育知识讲座 [status] => 1 [displayorder] => 5 [styleid] => 0 [threads] => 2735 [posts] => 23138 [todayposts] => 0 [yesterdayposts] => 0 [rank] => 111 [oldrank] => 111 [lastpost] => 1810237 信用网 1731411455 水水 [domain] => [allowsmilies] => 1 [allowhtml] => 1 [allowbbcode] => 1 [allowimgcode] => 1 [allowmediacode] => 0 [allowanonymous] => 0 [allowpostspecial] => 1 [allowspecialonly] => 0 [allowappend] => 0 [alloweditrules] => 0 [allowfeed] => 0 [allowside] => 0 [recyclebin] => 1 [modnewposts] => 2 [jammer] => 1 [disablewatermark] => 0 [inheritedmod] => 0 [autoclose] => 0 [forumcolumns] => 0 [catforumcolumns] => 0 [threadcaches] => 0 [alloweditpost] => 1 [simple] => 16 [modworks] => 1 [allowglobalstick] => 1 [level] => 0 [commoncredits] => 0 [archive] => 0 [recommend] => 0 [favtimes] => 0 [sharetimes] => 0 [disablethumb] => 0 [disablecollect] => 0 [ismoderator] => 0 [threadtableid] => 0 [allowreply] => [allowpost] => [allowpostattach] => )
打印 上一主题 下一主题
[体育菠菜心得方法] 如何判断菠菜公司盈利方向
[复制链接]
avatar
跳转到指定楼层
1#
这次将介绍如何利用单场即时SP值来推断菠菜公司的盈利方向,从而对一场比赛作出比较准确的判断。看本文需要对让球盘和水位有一定的了解,一般网站足彩专栏都有介绍,本文将不再赘述。; a4 k% X; f, |
单场涉及的比赛面广、繁杂,除了大家熟悉的五大联赛外,还包含多国小联赛,想要收集众多小球队的信息,对于普通彩民来讲难度不小,以互联网现有的赛事资讯远远难以满足判断比赛的需求,所以对菠菜公司开出的盘口具备一定的认知知识是很有必要的,菠菜公司拥有强大的资讯实力,以及无孔不入的关系网络,他们对于一场比赛所能了解到的信息要远远超出普通彩民的想象,所以通过盘口判断比赛是彩民常用的一种行之有效的方法。( M7 H( K( I. m: k
随着菠菜业的发展,菠菜公司已不再和菠菜者对赌,现在已发展为赚取上下盘投注差额,从中获取利益,可以说基本立于不败之地,菠菜公司开出的盘口是参考了两支球队实力以及非实力因素开出的,其操盘手法纷繁复杂,稍不注意就会掉入其设置的诱盘陷阱中,那么一场比赛菠菜公司如何才能获得最大利益呢?大家知道,盘口水位会随着距离开球时间的临近而变化,这是菠菜公司根据上下盘的投注额,来降低赔付风险,所以常有诱盘一说,一般来说,菠菜公司根据自身的资源,对一场比赛的结果是有比较精准的判断的,当比赛结果可能会造成很大的损失或某个结果会带来巨大利益时,甚至会出现操纵比赛的可能,假球也就应运而生了。
6 g! y; ]$ h# y: H$ a& p判断菠菜公司的盈利方向是对比赛走向的一个最好的方式,可是菠菜公司的资金流向是不会公开的,我们可以利用单场即时SP值来推断菠菜公司的盈利方向,每次足彩开奖前,大家都爱到各网站查询过关统计,根据此来推算奖金成色,本文所介绍的方法也类同于此,单场的即时SP值往往代表了一场比赛上下盘投注额的比例,下面就来谈谈怎么推算:# A9 f' H' x! r9 R
首先我们假设一场比赛的投注总额为1,
3 |7 ^1 R! e! z! n: v# D$ ~5 v  U设胜项即时SP值为X+ Y" ?, g6 x0 J  ^/ Z  S
设平项即时SP值为Y7 y  i) F: \- O( z) k* C  U1 `9 e
设负项即时SP值为Z7 L; Z9 n+ v) \9 A
那么结合投注总额和即时SP值我们来推算胜平负投注比例:
1 W. E7 R0 O9 h1 I主胜投注额比例为1÷X
2 \: k9 w2 V+ x9 e6 O; g主平投注额比例为1÷Y' K) [  C) N( i9 i
主负投注额比例为1÷Z
1 N$ j3 o$ z* A) _& ~  j+ H下面来计算菠菜公司的盈利:4 i! I; q- X' a: w& @/ j
上盘胜出:W1=(1÷Z)-(1÷X×上盘水位)
( s7 _* |8 [" p! z) d0 N- a6 }走 盘:W2=(1÷X)+(1÷Z)-(1÷Y)
. x% o) G9 |6 O! y: x下盘胜出:W3=(1÷X)-(1÷Z×下盘水位)
$ m0 k7 a8 s' A- B: b' |如何根据菠菜公司盈利来判断比赛:
% i. u- ]4 G1 s# H根据推算得出的W1、W2、W3,盈利最大值为菠菜公司最为看好的赛果,大家投注时可按此赛果选择首选项,盈利接近的话可考虑双选或全包。
6 ]' O0 \1 m& D% N4 G以平半盘为例:: X3 E) b/ Q+ J# J
主胜上盘全赢,主平投注上盘输一半、投注下盘赢一半,主负下盘全赢,套入公式则:9 c) h. A' ?, a+ Y+ @# S
主胜W1=(1÷Z)+(1÷Y)-(1÷X ×上盘水位)/ w% w$ H# ~7 b6 o* A7 g2 d
主平W2=(1÷X)/2 -((1÷Y)+1÷Z))/2×下盘水位
! ?1 N# k' g# A' o  ~: ^+ Y  W* a+ K主负W3=(1÷X)-((1÷Y)+1÷Z))×下盘水位
3 ?3 M) g) Z3 Q# r& d7 C+ h说明:
8 ~; b0 D. Z& D% _) X) B1、即时SP值采集最好为比赛开赛前半小时或一小时的,此时的SP最接近开奖SP值,这样推算的更为准确。2 D: u3 s- }1 R8 X
2、盘口常常开出如平半或半一这样的套盘,推算菠菜公司盈利时要将此考虑在内,上面公式并未计算套盘的情况,上面公式只是提供一个方法,个人应用时要结合开出的盘口灵活运用。
2 X6 Y, F; d2 A& k* _8 _6 X3、本推算公式建立在主队为上盘的基础上,适合主队为上盘的比赛,若主队为受让方可自行调换主客队推算之
3 t9 B$ D5 ~- h8 u- p
avatar
是不是赔付低的一方应该是盈利的方向啊
avatar
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
挺科学的,用数学来解释挺合理的{:4_195:}
avatar
3#
神奇波波 发表于 2015-6-2 07:34
; G( u* P- F5 f5 l: L是不是赔付低的一方应该是盈利的方向啊
4 Z8 f2 f- \9 x7 q
只能说可性大一点的哦
avatar
4#
{:4_99:}
您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 论坛注册

本版积分规则

:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
{:8_286:} {:8_287:} {:8_288:} {:8_289:}
{:8_290:} {:8_291:} {:8_292:} {:8_293:}
{:8_294:} {:8_295:} {:8_296:} {:8_297:}
{:8_298:} {:8_299:} {:8_300:} {:8_301:}
{:8_302:} {:8_303:} {:8_304:} {:8_305:}
{:8_306:} {:8_307:} {:8_308:} {:8_309:}
{:8_310:} {:8_311:} {:8_312:}
{:8_313:} {:8_314:} {:8_315:} {:8_316:}
{:8_317:} {:8_318:} {:8_319:} {:8_320:}
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake:
未有绑定记录
 


Powered by 天策论坛   © 2007-2024 天策论坛 | 小黑屋 | 手机|
1717 : 0