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[lastpost] => 2691034 比特币两次冲刺9万美元失败,暴跌即将来袭?(转) 1731730751 德罗星
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[虚拟币交流]
加密货币惨遭抛售 考验信奉比特币是“数字黄金”的投资者(转)
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加密资产本轮抛售正在罕见地考验一条业内信条,这一信条认为,比特币等同于“数字黄金”,因此,纳入资产投资组合可以对冲股市波动。
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9 S7 t( H: c' X {# w" l 随着周一股市大跌和套利交易平仓,比特币的表现更像股票而不是黄金,一度暴跌17%,跌破50,000美元,之后收复部分失地。彭博汇编数据显示,比特币与贵金属7月份变成了负相关。' K! s a2 @0 O! i/ F P
# _% g- u+ X; L3 @' X9 N3 A) b “认为机构投资者配置比特币的原因跟配置黄金的原因相同,这种想法不切实际,”eToro分析师Josh Gilbert表示,“这两种资产在投资组合中扮演的角色不一样。”
* P8 t4 m! W9 }% L4 E
/ b6 L' O2 H' Q$ S6 P% @ 相反,一些观察人士认为,比特币的大幅下跌证明,加密货币这类资产特别容易跟潜在威胁同步——例如美联储等太久才降息,令经济陷入衰退。“如果投资者感到恐慌或寻求去杠杆,加密货币往往是首选资产,”Gilbert表示。
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追根溯源,把比特币和黄金相提并论一定程度上是因为其各自的稀缺性。7 e: g: }9 i* H3 }1 |
; B! {, q: I5 K% X 一些分析师不愿意放弃比特币即黄金的论点——或者至少有一天它可能成为现实的想法。 W6 v# |/ K5 }7 K0 a4 p
: f; P: a% x5 }: [1 {5 n$ Z" K “许多投资者将比特币视为一种风险投资,押注其未来会成为数字黄金,”Galaxy Research研究主管Alex Thorn周一在报告中写道,“比特币跟黄金不同,主权国家、央行或机构投资者尚未普遍持有比特币。”, Q; k: ~2 m* k5 ~+ ^ f) e
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独立交易员Bob Loukas指出,周一的抛售十年难遇,这让人很难判断市场后续会出现哪种走势。他认为,调整可能会持续至9月中旬,然后在某个时刻出现强劲反弹。
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分析师McKenna则警告比特币投资者不要指望短期内会出现多大改善,更可能是长达1-2个月的横盘整理。& N$ T: d9 h- I/ x
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