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[体育菠菜心得方法] 看球与看球盘
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1#
1、几点涵义
7 F$ n9 i* h5 I6 J(1)初盘:初盘通常用来观察受热方向,一般视初盘低水方为受热方。
& e3 Q+ ]% n: ^0 G$ e(2)初赔:初赔通常也用来观察受热方向,一般通过欧亚对比的方式寻找受热方。盘口水位比赔率折合的水位更低的一方一般视为受热方。
; x7 }  `& Y! h+ F注:通过初盘、初赔的判断,若两者方向相同,则可直接确定受热方向。若两者方向不同,则通常取盘口的低水方为受热方。& _3 e0 G7 w* \6 E0 h
(3)终盘:通过终盘与初盘的纵向比较,终赔与初赔的纵向比较,终盘与终赔的横向比较,决定上下盘取向。
* s; o% h& N8 cA、终盘与初盘的纵向比较,是用来分析受热是否成功,若受热方升盘、降水,即视为造热成功,一般出非受热一方。若受热方升水、降盘,即视为造热不成功,一般出受热一方。. `5 r0 P1 Q) D$ S& m
B、终盘与终赔的横向比较,是用来分析庄家是否降低赔付。若欧亚对比,即时盘口水位比赔率折合的水位低一个级,如a、盘口是低水,赔率折合的是中低水,b、盘口是中高水,赔率折合是高水,则视为庄家在降低赔付,一般出降低赔付一方。反之亦然。如a、盘口是低水,赔率折合是高水,b、盘口是半球中水,赔率折合是平/半中水,则视为该方向受热,大热必死,出其对应的另一方。反之亦然。
5 N# @! d. k+ ^4 p  j( y* T. n# N+ j- Q(4)终赔:同理于上一条。
1 l# K- R- e' P( G注意:若终盘与初盘的纵向比较,与终盘和终赔的横向比较的结果不一致,一般视后者为正确理解。+ e9 b8 m2 @+ F: N* s6 G

% }, ~) x/ l9 j2、基本步骤
; U6 C3 W3 w$ c' A" B" |+ ?+ |1 B(1)分析造热方向。
" P; w% k2 J9 c% ~9 b8 ^(2)确定造热是否成功。
# g+ T4 c' V, A(3)得出相关上下盘结论。# b+ a* u' ~' A: p' P
例一:最基本、最简单的例子。赔率不变,盘口变。造热不成功型。
+ ^. d8 F3 u  ~+ ?- {8 I瑞典(主)VS捷克
6 Z* v8 f  ^) a初赔:2.30 3.10 2.75 $ _; {4 n' o! _7 k7 w' ^
初盘:0.80 平手 1.05 , E) p  ]- s3 f
终盘:1.05 平手/半球 0.80
2 c& Z% \; p7 M+ @* c% y见解:初赔支持平手低水或平/半满水,实际初盘平手低水,造热方向在上盘。临场时,赔率不变,实际盘平/半满水,有明显的阻上行为,且盘口与赔率非常吻合,造热不成功,上盘大好。结果顺利打出(2:1)。4 @3 k' a3 _! A4 o$ Y8 U
例二:最基本、最简单的例子。赔率不变,盘口变。造热成功型。8 B$ @- E* A, O: ~9 R
比利时(主)VS希腊: M2 u5 b; o$ W7 K  f' R/ {
初赔:2.25 3.15 2.80, k+ F; ^& P: E& l7 n; V7 H
初盘:1.00 平手/半球 0.85
- f+ }% p2 f  j# p终盘:1.025 平手/半球 0.825
6 t, o" [7 y7 a! m. e见解:初赔支持平/半高水,实际初盘平半高水或中高水,造热方向在下盘。临场时,赔率不变,实际盘平/半高水,有明显的阻上行为,且盘口与赔率非常吻合,下盘造热成功,上盘大好。结果上盘顺利打出(2:0)。
2 n" [/ B$ Z+ b' P. J6 Q, V0 l例三:最常见的。赔率、盘口都变。以变换后的赔率为基调进行研究。
5 E5 U0 \5 p0 x. a) ~意大利VS爱尔兰(主)3 B0 c& M" L4 f* a$ w! M3 K
初赔:2.50 3.00 2.60
7 i% S% I+ W4 O) i5 H终赔:2.40 3.00 2.70 9 H% Z" a* A7 v0 J
初盘:0.85 平手 1.00
0 Z; C( o( Q7 b终盘:0.775 平手 1.075 4 w% _( C- K0 C1 x* m6 T2 E
见解:初赔支持平手中水,实际盘平手低水,造上盘。临场时赔率支持平手中低水,实际盘平手超低水。这里请注意,如果从初盘与终盘的对比来看上盘造热成功,该出下盘。但请注意两点,一是变了赔后,支持中低水,实际盘是超低水,水位恰好低一级,正是出上盘的表现。二是本身给出超低水,也很明显在降低赔付。因此上盘顺利打出,比分2:1。
! f; E, x0 J) `  n/ Y. m5 o) i# }# [3 H- C- Y! C- Y' l" O( r
3、几点相关定义( z- P2 J, p: X4 b2 e4 l) [
(1)低水方:上盘和下盘中水位较低的一方,一般可理解为低水方为受热方,也可理解为低水方为降低赔付方。
6 Y; z% T  V' f. i0 K$ R(2)诱上、诱下:庄家通过一些变盘手法,而使闲家产生上盘或下盘形势更好的想法。一般低水称为诱。+ a6 o6 U  V& z
(3)阻上、阻下:庄家通过一些变盘手法,而使闲家产生上盘或下盘形势不好的想法。一般高水称为阻。, L% I; j) }$ h& {' b
注意:中水既在诱又不阻。非常危险。% P/ _% A, \# r7 C+ q
(4)换位思考:每个盘口都有上盘和下盘,因人而异会有很多不同的想法。当你产生某一种想法时,一定要设想与你对立面的人的想法,并否定他。如果能否定,请肯定你的想法,如果不能否定,请对你的想法持怀疑态度,当然,不是叫你肯定别人的想法。
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2#
看看楼主的心得和方法
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3#
感谢分享心法啊,增加认识了
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4#
学习了 楼主 谢谢
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