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[体育菠菜心得方法] 欧陪研究的十个层次
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1#
1.        初识欧陪。了解3个数字的基本意义,表面上理解了赔率几个数字所代表的意义。! y; ]( F* l/ I% R# a3 m
2.        熟练的分析欧陪。理解赔率值倒数约等于概率等,会计算返还率、胜率等,并开始运用这些公式化的方法分析赔率。: B; G! W6 h- I
3.        系统分析欧陪。开始认识到不同公司有不同的特点,从整体上看欧陪。随着研究的深入容易有入门甚至得道的感觉。开始研究欧亚结合的分析方法,对欧陪变化情有独种,但由于对欧陪认识过于肤浅还自以为是,效果往往很差。开始有自己的数据积累,但大多是井底之蛙,刻舟求剑。6 h- T/ k: E& I7 N" c5 u9 _7 r
4.        热衷于历史赔率的统计,喜欢分析某公司某组赔率的走势、胜率等等,甚至期望发现一些“必杀赔率”或者必杀赔率组合。喜欢现在很多网站提供的“历史相同赔率统计”是这一类型的典型特征。多数欧陪研究者处于此类于上一类之间,能突破者并不多见。
8 B. @; s+ r, h6 U  u/ Z- E) |( G3 N5.        试图用数学的方法“精确”分析赔率,开始量化的对比分析研究不同赔率公司的赔率。计算“博彩公司期望利润”多属于这一类。此阶段基础是已经系统的收集了海量数据,有自己的数据库,并且有专用的软件来分析。
+ q/ b: }& C5 \# p6.        开始运用统计学方法分析赔率,认为欧陪的本质是概率,试图从整体上分析取得突破,机械的认为“不同公司对不同联赛把握程度不同”,赔率分散则打出可能性较小等等。这些研究可能会取得一些阶段性的时效性的成果,但研究者往往知其然不知其所以然。% F# @+ E6 D+ s' S) e& X! u3 p
7.        真正感悟到欧陪的博大精深,开始深入研究典型公司的赔率体系。逐渐深入了解不同公司、不同赛事赔率的特点。可以从简单的三个数字中,可以看出博彩公司的赔率异常,“表面上的倾向”。从第三四阶段已经开始这方面认识,但往往不具体深入,根本没体会到其真正含义。; ]6 t- j. M: S5 i
8.        熟悉10家以上公司的赔率体系,了解30家以上公司的体系特点。真正综合的方法分析欧陪,从整体到个体再从个体到整体,发现其中的异常,可以精确的判断博彩公司的倾向,但对其真实意图确没多大把握,往往依靠感觉和经验来判断赛果。水平已是万里挑一,达到这层次非常的不易,不仅仅需要辛勤的汗水,更需要有良好的天赋。+ l* z* d# l: p$ E4 `. x0 A- r
9.        凭借丰富的实战经验、海量的数据积累、孜孜不倦的复盘研究和各种特有的分析方法,不仅对几乎所有博彩公司赔率体系特点了如指掌,而且对典型公司操盘手法也颇有心得。对赔率分析有自己独到的见解,建立了自己系统的分析方法,量化、非量化结合自如。
. i5 Z' h- |# D4 u10.        终成正果,笑傲江湖。
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2#
学习中 好帖咋没人顶
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3#
好文章一定要顶
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4#
走走看看学习学习
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主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
支持一下楼主发帖
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支持一下楼主发帖
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7#
谢谢楼主分享
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8#
新人来学习下,谢谢楼主。
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9#
谢谢楼主的心得分享!
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10#
这是本人原创,n年前发表于MSO
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谢谢楼主发帖分(ˇˍˇ) ~
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确实没研究这些,不懂,也不想
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13#
看来体育菠菜博大精深,要好好学习一下。
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14#
觉得言过其实
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:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
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:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
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