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回复 8# wlj353400
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你看看你每次都是你觉得，你觉得根本就是shit。对比一下两个人的地位和生活水平就觉得觉得怎么样了，这么不虚心 |
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同意 我自己也有做 牌面調查..( H B( E! k c+ q: E
說也奇怪 的確某一方連續自然贏3場 甚至是兩場 優勢就會轉到反方 最少70%
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但這種機會不多 只能說該多多把握了! 比如天七對天6 天8對天9 或者例牌天8 天9即殺 一般人看到這種牌局 90%的人都會觀望好幾手 版主說的是另一個反向思維..大家幾乎天天WD的 可以做個記錄分析分析再行動! |
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回复 101# huyunzhou
9 ?) `4 k' I8 B& t5 L6 u! Y0 |- m9 X3 C: `/ @. p: a2 O
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netural win = 例牌因為長期, 國外DC 工作 所以用了很英文專業用語 |
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怎么算出来的，很好奇。这个我的确算不出来，为什么是87%？算法是什么？ |
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第一部分: 不消牌的百家樂 連續三口 即贏 (netural win) 閒閒閒/莊莊莊 下局買相反如果閒莊閒, 下局 ...
7 f. ]. F! X0 E, D6 h, {8 uwlcomp 发表于 2011-7-22 11:16 
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4 { Q- e# a0 v; r0 C* b “連續三口 即贏 (netural win) 閒閒閒/莊莊莊 下局買相反”这个概率1-50%^3=87.5%，这个我懂，可是面两条也是那么算的么？下面两条应该是条件概率吧？应该是50%，welcom先生，小弟说得对么？请斧正 |
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回复 116# garysgarys
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' v C4 \) E5 W" Y 只例牌才是真正1/2, 所以三例牌之再連,或者再跳: 1/2^4=12.5% , 不發生的机會= 1-12.5%=87%( A3 [% f6 y, j2 j6 L' b Z: I2 S4 ?
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用電腦做一百萬局是=65%左右, 因有"和", |
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回复 12# wlcomp
7 N( t- V8 }- m$ Z3 }9 ]) c! s* i8 Q# o7 L( R0 c( G/ d% y! |4 {
' |! I) Z+ g# s# } 这个我看明白了，直杀3次以后如果是您上面出的情况 ，胜率很高，是吧！这个有过实验吗？ |
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