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[体育菠菜玩法规则] 足球返还率解析玩足彩必知的返还率计算公式
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1#
  喜欢足彩的朋友可以能会有怎么样的疑问:足球返还率是怎么计算的?返还率的计算公式是什么?足球返还率可以通过欧洲赔率这样的公式进行计算4 z0 K) C6 E/ W' ~8 L: S+ s" {
  欧洲赔率的平均返还率大约是90%,这个的意思就是欧洲博彩公司平均利润率是10%。返还率的计算公式如下:, t  J$ c: F. \$ Y
  P=AxBxC/(AxBBxCAxC)2 \% _3 t+ {* o
  P表示足球返还率,A表示胜赔,B表示平赔,C表示负赔。
1 @- Y1 g$ ?- E  比如,2007年10月28日,英超朴茨矛VS西汉姆威廉希尔初盘赔率为:1.723.204.338 h. c8 J, l) e1 a8 x$ V
  P=1.72x3.20x4.33/(1.72x3.203.20x4.331.72x4.33)=88.90%( |4 @' @7 d7 J' d; x( y
  这场比赛,荷兰TOTO公司的赔率是:1.703.003.54通过返还率的计算公式,其返还率是83.04%6 Z  [: l- V. s, l2 c
  TOTO如此低的足球返还率,竟然也给主胜开出了1.70的胜赔,仅比返还率为88.9%的威廉希尔少0.02。如果威廉希尔对该场比赛三项结果的胜率判断是正确的,我们不妨设想一下,TOTO应该开出什么样的赔率是比较合适的?# l+ W' @! t& b% n: a: a2 g
  从威廉希尔赔率为:1.723.204.33可以换算出胜平负的概率为:51.69%27.78%20.53%,TOTO应该开出这样的赔率:
) J; h( M4 g; C0 F: E) ~  胜赔=83.04%/51.69%=1.618 E9 Y% Y" n% s& y. e! v, N' U
  平赔=83.04%/27.78%=2.99
- w) L5 u5 S8 i7 g5 z+ K  负赔=83.04%/20.53%=4.04
9 f8 y1 F  A! U, [0 [) L, r  很明显,平赔最接近,负赔低开不少。我们可以这样理解:威廉希尔和TOTO都对主胜不很看好,对平局意见基本统一,对客胜,威廉希尔不很看好,TOTO则担心客胜。字串5
& A9 ~+ v$ L. x: e. G  这个客胜的判断差异,我们究竟相信谁呢?
+ M/ m5 ?$ l; V+ w; D6 x  我们再看威廉希尔后来将负赔调整为5.00,韦德更是调到5.50的高位,因此,我觉得TOTO看好平局是真,大幅降低客胜是假。9 k, B# _; O8 U$ a6 a# T+ N; k, X
  本场比赛,最后0:0战平。$ f7 W$ K9 z# {. S' }
  我们再来看2007年10月20日,国米0:1负罗马* _$ W0 U) z+ y  W! v- J
  威廉希尔赔率为:1.723.204.33对应的概率是51.69%27.78%20.53%8 d8 o, B* f) r3 O
  oddest公司的足球返还率为79.64%返还率的计算公式换算出的赔率为1.542.873.887 _1 g  K5 c+ R) t  \4 X
  oddest公司的实际赔率是1.752.853通过比较我们不难发现oddest公司对国米获胜一点都不担心,该公司更加看好客队不败。
) A# f9 {) x& D4 Q, a, L9 K  通过上面的分析,我们可以看到,如果我们关注足球返还率的不同赔率差异,对于我们判断冷门结果,会带来非常重要的意义。
7 y2 `9 }+ y/ D9 @+ X/ _  当然,必须声明的是,任何一种分析方法都不可能解决所有问题,我们应该针对问题进行更全面的分析,进行综合判断,这样对于中奖率的提高就会有更大的帮助。
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2#
好复杂的说。。。。
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好厉害的说 楼主精辟啊
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4#
我的算术太水了,看不懂
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