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[lastpost] => 2688262 Anthony Scaramucci断言比特币在此期间将以17.6万美元的价格交易（转） 1731738186 中大奖
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格分析：在6.9万美元被拒绝后，BTC获得新ATH的机会有多大？（转）
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在最近的牛市中，比特币的价格尚未达到历史新高，因为卖家正在捍卫他们的最后一道防线。& R) F7 i. l5 a! |$ B: `% a
0 R7 ^) N- x' |" E0 X% O* o+ C技术分析5 E& y% ?/ N6 a4 z* R$ \( V
By埃德里斯·德拉赫希（TradingRage）: ]0 g/ {+ j I- k$ t7 d
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每日图表
8 I0 U2 {) ~% p+ ^) q. \$ S1 A0 {在日线图上，该资产最近反弹至6.4万美元水平和200天移动平均线之上，位于同一区域附近。这一上升趋势大大提高了比特币很快创下历史新高的可能性。
\7 n$ M/ i3 t9 E1 i+ A) [
~, O9 ~; ?; H* `然而，卖家很好地捍卫了6.9万美元的阻力位，因为价格正在下跌。如果出现大幅回调，可以重新测试200天移动平均线。+ p, S9 `. u2 @! e7 @6 v
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4小时图表
2 v+ P4 C4 I! @ ~) b8 a3 w- Z基于价格走势和动量分析，4小时图显示了明显的看跌信号。市场最近在6.9万美元的关键阻力区形成了一个上升的楔形。然而，RSI与最近的价格高点显示出明显的看跌背离。
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这导致了模式的崩溃，这是一个典型的看跌反转信号。RSI也显示低于50%的值，这表明动量在4小时内看跌。然而，由于整体市场结构仍然看涨，这一举措很可能只是暂时的调整。
2 L6 B! C; V$ a- [# N' j' J5 }* M- a e$ g, ]& _
情绪分析9 t) b# m& R A& }( a. V6 M
By埃德里斯·德拉赫希（TradingRage）
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1 b6 k2 b" |7 _; o7 i' ~$ @' M比特币芝加哥商品交易所期权未平仓合约（叠加）- v j) J! ?! `) S/ D; n5 Y
在比特币最近的价格上涨中，投资者越来越乐观地认为，不久将出现新的历史新高和长期反弹。然而，这种乐观情绪有可能导致市场下跌。
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, w$ T. a( Y b) ~- N此图表显示了比特币芝加哥商品交易所期权未平仓合约（堆叠），它衡量了未平仓期权头寸的数量，包括看涨期权和看跌期权。显然，与牛市早期和接近市场底部的水平相比，期权未平仓合约（OI）总额显著下降，在牛市早期和市场底部，看涨期权和看跌期权都堆积得更重。
& a8 S* i3 @- h- G- C v
) C' q8 v/ {5 _1 h& Q& T9 FOI的下降表明，投资者对比特币价格走势的不确定性减少了，导致他们采取了更具方向性的头寸，减少了通过期权进行对冲的需要。与此同时，对芝加哥商品交易所期货的开放兴趣日益增加，表明投资者对这一趋势越来越有信心，愿意采取更多杠杆头寸并承担更大的风险。不用说，杠杆是一把双刃剑。# E! A* i, R( {: c l
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