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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格分析：BTC在跌破5万美元和随后反弹后的两个目标（转）
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在加密货币市场大幅下滑之后，比特币出现了大幅下跌，突破了其之前5.3万美元大幅下跌的关键支撑位。 这一价格走势表明，市场结构可能转向看跌。 技术分析作者：Shayan 每日图表对比特币日线图的详细检查显示，由于对潜在经济动荡的普遍担忧，比特币出现了大幅下滑。自周五以来，抛售压力的增加导致BTC价格大幅下跌，使其跌破61.1万美元的200天移动平均线和之前的5.3万美元的大幅摆动低点。 这一突破是一个强烈的看跌信号，表明市场结构可能转向看跌，因为它标志着每日时间线的新低。 这一走势表明，由于早期多头头寸的止损订单，卖方流动性低于5.3万美元的水平，但已被激活，引发了多头挤压事件。 随着市场持续降温和去杠杆化，现在中期整合阶段的可能性更大。因此，在未来几天，比特币的价格预计将在5.3万美元至6万美元之间波动。 来源：TradingVIew4小时图表在4小时图上，抛售的强度是显而易见的，因为比特币的价格通过了几个关键的支撑区，包括6万美元的心理水平和关键的5.3万美元大关。 然而，这种急剧下跌有效地冲掉了期货市场的大部分多头头寸，导致当价格达到5万美元左右的多月楔形模式的下限时，看跌势头暂时停止，导致小幅反弹。 鉴于近期下跌趋势的冲动性，市场可能需要在短期内进入纠正阶段。 这一修正的关键目标位于斐波那契回撤水平内，特别是在0.5（62000美元）和0.618（59.5K美元）之间。短期内，比特币可能会被困在5万至6.2万美元的区间内，可能会横盘整理，直到下一个重大举措发生。 来源：TradingView链上分析作者：Shayan 比特币的价格经历了大幅下跌，难以保持其上涨势头。近期下跌背后的一个关键因素可能是永久市场的抛售活动和长期挤压事件。 附图突出显示了融资率，这是评估期货市场情绪的关键指标。该指标显示了买家或卖家总体上是否执行得更积极（接受订单）。正资金利率表明看涨情绪，而负利率表明看跌情绪。 最近，融资率急剧下降，表明这种下降是由激进的卖空和许多多头头寸的清算造成的。 融资利率现已转为负值，反映出整体看跌情绪和卖空者的主导地位。然而，这也可以被视为一个积极的信号，因为它表明期货市场不再过热。如果没有剧烈变化，这种情况可能会为未来几个月更可持续的看涨趋势创造条件。
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