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华讯财经认为,早盘两市低开,股指震荡翻红,技术上,沪指前低3537点支撑,有望反弹,关注5日线压力,创业板2400点有争夺。各大股指均处于均线压制的空头趋势中,MACD指标也都迈入了死叉格局,成交量总体上仍处于较低水平,从量价关系来看,短期股指仍未显现见底信号。市场人气低迷,投资者需耐心等待进场机会。
: a9 `- ]$ H" ?: c" j! Z 步入八月,在维稳政策持续,经济逐渐企稳向好的背景下,投资者的信心也将逐渐恢复。整体来看,A股疯牛已经宣告落幕,但长牛逻辑并未打破。不少个股或将迎来机会。从投资机会来看,首先,增持、举牌概念股值得密切跟踪;其次,中报行情是A股每年的惯常炒作题材,投资者宜注意其中的投资机会;此外,一些中小创超跌股行业龙头,以及周期向上的畜牧业、航空以及部分化工周期类个股,也值得在底部布局。+ g2 Q! p- A5 X! N# g4 |) ?
国信证券:短期市场两个变量至关重要,第一仍然是ZF态度,第二是市场价格。如果ZF态度是在前期底部区域提供更多的流动性从而托成水平底部,后期走势将是基于政策底的震荡收敛。短期反弹后的调整并不良性,甚至是剧烈的;第二阶段的反弹则可能已经看不到了。但从长期来看,一方面要看市场的自我调整幅度,另一方面很多悬在投资者心中的大石头一日不落地,市场想重拾升势难度很大。这些大石头包括ZF救市资金退出机制的公布、IPO重启、注册制落地等。
- R. q' R$ M; A7 J, K 广州万隆:八月行情“开门绿”,两市近500只个股跌停,似乎是一个极为不利的信号。不过从盘面看,量能水平萎缩至今年3月初以来的最低水平,预示变盘临近。盘面朝积极方面转向或在酝酿之中,值得密切跟踪。
( P) i5 l5 k( U9 F 天信投资:从技术上看,沪指连续多日在20日均线下方运行,中期走势不容乐观。另外很明显的就是市场连续出现的地量,这说明市场交投不活跃,多空分歧减小,市场的底部即使不是在当下,也是在底部区域了。当然地量的产生也说明市场分歧较小,多空拉锯会继续进行,短期股指应该会做一个筑底的动作,也就是小区间的窄幅震荡,上下空间应该都是有限的,直到一方的力量累积远远超过另一方,价格才会突破箱体,出现反转。, r+ H4 U- I* q: }
九鼎德盛:从沪指来看,短期KDJ日线指标处于低位区,有反弹修复可能,但如果配合周、月线指标轨迹来看,已经死叉,这显示阶段性的持续反弹较为困难,表现在盘面上,出现当日反弹,然后下挫的可能性较大。而打破这一轨迹形态,产生阶段性持续反弹的关键是量能,目前量能却没有大的改观,因此密切关注量能较为关键。+ t. ?+ \: ~1 c: T9 f7 k
钱坤投资:昨日虽然护盘资金尾盘拉升,但跌停股较多,市场依然较弱,今日市场或维持震荡探底节奏,股指已经进入超跌区域,投资者可耐心等待超跌反弹机会。 |
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有一个卖房子的销售打电话推销房子,说该小区配套完善,绿地面积更高达50%以上,我说不好意思我住在绿地面积为95%的一线城市,他问我哪里。我说深沪两市,他又好奇的问是市区吗?我说是股市,然后他就把电话砸了。 |
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