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1、几点涵义5 L! O, S, L1 h* e7 y7 k# ?% m+ K5 k
(1)初盘:初盘通常用来观察受热方向,一般视初盘低水方为受热方。1 E9 z. H6 t+ G, n: |" |
(2)初赔:初赔通常也用来观察受热方向,一般通过欧亚对比的方式寻找受热方。盘口水位比赔率折合的水位更低的一方一般视为受热方。, R2 S8 u2 j4 {  f
注:通过初盘、初赔的判断,若两者方向相同,则可直接确定受热方向。若两者方向不同,则通常取盘口的低水方为受热方。
2 Y4 b; e3 l% m2 w5 u8 @4 y: J; b(3)终盘:通过终盘与初盘的纵向比较,终赔与初赔的纵向比较,终盘与终赔的横向比较,决定上下盘取向。
" w4 s3 ^* |7 FA、终盘与初盘的纵向比较,是用来分析受热是否成功,若受热方升盘、降水,即视为造热成功,一般出非受热一方。若受热方升水、降盘,即视为造热不成功,一般出受热一方。
* l# T( `! g! y! i/ qB、终盘与终赔的横向比较,是用来分析庄家是否降低赔付。若欧亚对比,即时盘口水位比赔率折合的水位低一个级,如a、盘口是低水,赔率折合的是中低水,b、盘口是中高水,赔率折合是高水,则视为庄家在降低赔付,一般出降低赔付一方。反之亦然。如a、盘口是低水,赔率折合是高水,b、盘口是半球中水,赔率折合是平/半中水,则视为该方向受热,大热必死,出其对应的另一方。反之亦然。; e; P9 n0 E3 C. T
(4)终赔:同理于上一条。
! z3 i# ]- V8 t4 E0 \4 T6 p注意:若终盘与初盘的纵向比较,与终盘和终赔的横向比较的结果不一致,一般视后者为正确理解。
+ W+ G* k  [; {8 N+ `$ ?- I. C
$ U+ U9 L8 n1 k3 b; a2、基本步骤) F' }+ Q% u- g
(1)分析造热方向。
# M! i0 Q& U5 e(2)确定造热是否成功。! ~5 B, z8 F; h, R: \4 [
(3)得出相关上下盘结论。6 T. S" Q, s0 P, x" Y0 I' |6 i9 o  q% p
例一:最基本、最简单的例子。赔率不变,盘口变。造热不成功型。$ M. n! T' A& C+ L' Z# r- k
瑞典(主)VS捷克
6 h7 n: P+ r6 a% c  M; \初赔:2.30 3.10 2.75 / ]- a; ~. ~: e; c
初盘:0.80 平手 1.05
1 ~$ o4 }9 D7 f$ P& s2 ?4 C终盘:1.05 平手/半球 0.80
% Y" H1 e( w  @# H8 \0 }见解:初赔支持平手低水或平/半满水,实际初盘平手低水,造热方向在上盘。临场时,赔率不变,实际盘平/半满水,有明显的阻上行为,且盘口与赔率非常吻合,造热不成功,上盘大好。结果顺利打出(2:1)。
- ]3 c% K4 t3 o, q  j例二:最基本、最简单的例子。赔率不变,盘口变。造热成功型。) D; z5 I9 X, x: F/ g
比利时(主)VS希腊  o" p" ?# R: g2 ^% y
初赔:2.25 3.15 2.80
4 d1 g" B+ H6 F( K# K; u; z初盘:1.00 平手/半球 0.85
$ j% N9 d) Q2 o! `终盘:1.025 平手/半球 0.825 & p8 [% m5 y! G: k' I7 }: X
见解:初赔支持平/半高水,实际初盘平半高水或中高水,造热方向在下盘。临场时,赔率不变,实际盘平/半高水,有明显的阻上行为,且盘口与赔率非常吻合,下盘造热成功,上盘大好。结果上盘顺利打出(2:0)。
' K, ?# h1 t0 L7 x# B例三:最常见的。赔率、盘口都变。以变换后的赔率为基调进行研究。& r" M! Y! T5 R5 \  v  n+ T! l
意大利VS爱尔兰(主)  L# }. s0 C) @2 G: i. r
初赔:2.50 3.00 2.60
9 M1 x/ H1 a9 n终赔:2.40 3.00 2.70
  O: w. \8 `8 m, n初盘:0.85 平手 1.00+ j5 {5 Z) e) d2 T( S& G
终盘:0.775 平手 1.075 - x2 R0 Y" s, {) @6 Q3 \, [  u
见解:初赔支持平手中水,实际盘平手低水,造上盘。临场时赔率支持平手中低水,实际盘平手超低水。这里请注意,如果从初盘与终盘的对比来看上盘造热成功,该出下盘。但请注意两点,一是变了赔后,支持中低水,实际盘是超低水,水位恰好低一级,正是出上盘的表现。二是本身给出超低水,也很明显在降低赔付。因此上盘顺利打出,比分2:1。
5 ~7 Q- e0 I) \& R6 X* U8 ^/ i" {4 A6 p& ~$ o
3、几点相关定义: W2 K( F2 U* g! L
(1)低水方:上盘和下盘中水位较低的一方,一般可理解为低水方为受热方,也可理解为低水方为降低赔付方。
7 O0 P  z$ N! t! E* s" ](2)诱上、诱下:庄家通过一些变盘手法,而使闲家产生上盘或下盘形势更好的想法。一般低水称为诱。; l. k  y( [4 [; b: q
(3)阻上、阻下:庄家通过一些变盘手法,而使闲家产生上盘或下盘形势不好的想法。一般高水称为阻。
/ s4 l/ K  X  g/ P: \5 d8 O注意:中水既在诱又不阻。非常危险。
4 P) W3 d: {9 _(4)换位思考:每个盘口都有上盘和下盘,因人而异会有很多不同的想法。当你产生某一种想法时,一定要设想与你对立面的人的想法,并否定他。如果能否定,请肯定你的想法,如果不能否定,请对你的想法持怀疑态度,当然,不是叫你肯定别人的想法。
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2#
看看楼主的心得和方法
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3#
感谢分享心法啊,增加认识了
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学习了 楼主 谢谢
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