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[体育菠菜心得方法] 【转帖】亚欧盘口对比亚洲盘口需改进几点
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  买球的人都知道,虽然欧洲盘口分析起来要比亚洲盘口难上许多,原因在于欧盘开盘时讲究的因素很多,也正是这样才给玩家们更多的资料分析空间,而不像亚盘什么都掩盖得严严实实,所以很多人都倾向于欧盘。亚欧盘口对比亚洲盘口需改进以下几点:# i- n5 s' N3 U9 U5 l
  [1]球队基本实力。6 F8 t8 j; C9 O; ^( C( i' X
  对联赛球队基本实力有个准确认识。需要对球队球员的基本能力有准确了解。英超切尔西继续增强实力,阿森纳实力下降,十几支中游球队基本实力相差很近,除了桑德兰偏弱。意甲德甲则有较明显的中上集团,也有明显的下游集团,西甲则从头到尾纯粹实力差距最小。这些反映到盘口上,就会发现为什么相似对阵相同组合赛果截然不同。球队实力是决定比赛的最核心因素,是研究欧赔的基础。相当于武功中的内功。赔率组合理解为招势。成功的研究者需要同时具备超过意甲张路、英超周枫、德甲陶伟的基本面水平(当然他们对基本面的理解也是有很多误区的)。+ a- l& a5 r7 D7 O; @. d
  [2]即时广义实力差。2 Y( g2 D3 c/ M0 g
  盘口基础是广实差。广实差包括能够影响闲家思维的核心因素。至少包括:A、人气形势。如:罗马实力与森多相当,但人气不同,反映到盘口上有区别的。对于欧战,人气对盘口影响很大。B、渊源。如:西甲的马德里、巴塞罗拿、塞维利亚三大城市对抗,盘口上是不表达出来的。C、战意。例如:联赛是排位赛,不同阶段盘口思维是不同的。D、主客场战绩。E、近况。特别是上一场战绩很重要。F、往绩。需要提醒:往绩胜负多、交叉胜负多、平局多,对于盘口的影响是不同的。G、核心球员伤停。H、联赛特性。像德甲、挪超,主队经常大比分取胜,反映到主客场广实差与其他联赛不同。I、排名。包括主客场排名。J、比赛时段。等等。+ c4 M: `, J2 ]
  [3]尝试思索欧赔思路。
, L  f& q1 @" w) h) j  基本工作是进行欧赔统计。
3 `' e7 D: R% G) _6 @  简单的统计对比根本没有价值。真正的欧赔统计是需要将“当时的广义实力差包含的因素”都记录统计下来。这样工作量陡增10倍。这个环节,任何研究者都不可能舍去。如果您能这样统计一个赛季,细心分析,我想您肯定有质的飞跃。建议“足球大赢家”的赔率中心进行类似的统计,应该最有时间精力了。否则,简单的赔率统计实际上是“刻舟求剑”。
; i' i# J! O7 s( s  统计公司。0 V; U2 A3 Q! N: p, N
  威廉是必须统计的。可以选择另外一家进行对比统计。不过首先要以一家为主,混淆了是很麻烦的。威廉开盘思维最丰富、最精妙、最恰如其分,其他公司无不东施效颦,澳门核心开盘手一定是威廉的崇拜者,因为澳门盘处处见到威廉开盘思维的影子。5 H0 ?; C6 M* f  J2 a* y( ?
  统计一些二三流公司的赔率,很难有真正价值。9 g6 q/ l1 r6 e5 C. H0 y2 I! t
  [4]理解欧赔组合。
: {( Z( ]/ L4 a  U+ Q' c& ], n6 C  如何理解欧赔组合?答案是:理性、天分、勤奋、顿悟。4 W% b( p, v3 N
  研究欧赔达到层次。经济利益?是水到渠成的事。伯明翰2:2利物浦,立记3.75/3.2/1.83(3.5/3.2/1.9),拉低负赔抬高胜赔,错位分散平赔,超稳平局(欧赔平局是有精妙的做盘体系的),很难有第二种赛果。威廉立记的思维层次和对大联赛比赛的把握,远远超出国人的想象能力,就像江津平生根本没有见过卡洛斯那么快的任意球、天朝队没有见过中村那么刁钻的任意球。
$ R. P( O" o$ l( m% q/ N& [  如果亚盘能加入这些欧盘的元素,相信会让很多玩家疯狂,他们追求的就是这种,激情、刺激的游戏,这些也会使得亚盘走向成熟。
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这里真是饿补体育的好地方
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