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[seodescription] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!<br /><a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/thread-51289-1-1.html" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜新人必看】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=33" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜规则】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=34" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜心得】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=100" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜问题咨询】</font></a>
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博彩就是博人性,其根原就在基本面。基本面是指每一场对赛两队球队所包含的一切综合实力的展现。分析基本面估算出该场球的实际综合实力与心理实力的差值.而这个实力也就是通常我们所指的实盘。结合庄家为该场球所开出的盘口作较对(初盘分析)再结合中期调整,(中盘分析)最后,临场分析。初盘与即时盘的结合体,就是解开一场球盘的关键所在。. O+ P* c# }4 P) n0 i
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“盘无常盘,水无常形。”
1 o5 _- F& O# X! _7 C
' {/ q3 A% J& |6 Q2 y# j0 P“博者无他,争先术耳,故专者能之。”
; C$ ?- v0 Z7 n
1 `& I9 n$ U S7 A: j$ o亚盘和欧赔结合分析法五步曲:* n# o$ d Y+ X! w: d. u1 u, M
5 t: |- ~8 C3 q0 d/ |9 W/ s1、赛事分析(赛事基本面分析,强调寻找“造热噱头”)* _& e" X+ [! E0 {- Z0 A; I. K! \) {( ]
9 d* b3 P9 t& p3 X重点推荐关注领域亚盘让球0.5 0.75 1,欧赔1.45~1.99区 一三三(冷0) 一三四(冷0)一三五(冷1)一三六(冷1)一四六(冷1)等赔率组合区。
* {9 f" C" `1 H" o8 p$ ?7 T( l5 w l6 C2 M5 L
由于亚盘半球盘,半一盘,一球盘是风险区(赢球还可能输盘),在这个区间,亚盘更具有指导意义,而赔率只作为辅助研究;& ]3 n/ ~/ C- z' b' w: v
^1 l+ v& C9 H) m' I1 O2、主流博彩公司初盘分析。+ ~; {$ W1 _# [* q2 Y2 z
' e+ E0 X' s8 f0 x' y K
重点研究盈禾(和SB相同),澳门、日博、立博、威廉,包括亚盘和赔率对比研究(欧亚转换)。英国赛事加上CORAL,德国赛事加上ODDSET,意大利赛事加上SNAI,西班牙赛事加上BWIN,亚洲赛事加上香港马会HKJC Football(天朝香港)' F, ^' c7 D& _1 G2 v, e0 ]1 m
& H( ~+ ^: `( e9 ], v/ m8 L4 J4 b
3、主流博彩公司临场分析(赛前一个小时或半小时前)。
8 R3 o) Q/ ]% R, X+ s! }! |, e
! b0 b: f3 j* Q' C; c. c各家博彩公司意见是否统一,同家博彩公司欧亚转换是否统一,寻找差异。6 a' g% w& D4 R v
5 E! C ], J# g/ I5 K4 u4、结合基本面综合分析,得出方向。
/ D# S, F: k4 A; u2 d% ?7 e
) l" I8 D( M4 z6 { {: A+ |8 N6 ]! qA盘口开大,不变盘,下盘大热,庄家看好上盘,诱下盘。 B盘口开大,临场降盘,下盘大热,庄家看好上盘,诱下盘。 C盘口开大,早中期降盘,调整盘口后,盘口合适(转盘口合适)。 D盘口开大,不变盘,降水至低水,上盘大热,市场预期看好上盘,庄家诱上盘。 E盘口开大,临场升盘,上盘大热,市场预期看好上盘,庄家诱上盘。 F盘口开大,早中期升盘,上盘大热,市场预期看好上盘,庄家诱上盘。 G盘口开小,不变盘,上盘大热。 H盘口开小,早中期升盘,调整盘口后,盘口合适(转盘口合适)。 I盘口开小,不变盘。 G盘口开小,临场升盘。 K盘口合适,不变盘,哪方受热哪方有难。 L盘口合适,临场降盘,减小上盘打出赔付,赢球赢盘。 M盘口合适,升盘热上盘。 N盘口合适,早期降盘,调整后,初盘开大(转盘口开大)。 O盘口合适,早期升盘,调整后,初盘开小(转盘口开小)3 Z/ s& F* E% ~1 b4 r z
9 p, j) k l2 e1 X% G6 a2 _0 t5、时机的选择
, P# |5 D# m# S+ i* k" S: O
$ D5 l& l7 z% C盘口开大【如赔率支持半球盘,亚盘却开出半一盘】(如半一中高水波动盘),临场降半球低水盘(赛前半小时内,越临近,上盘进球越快),果断界入上盘;[庄家心态:降低上盘打出赔付]
/ v/ \! U7 n% p, h7 e1 [& I9 P! H! H5 W* ]& Y7 w
初盘中规中矩(半球盘或半一盘),要出上盘,升要早升,赛前才升,那是热升盘,往往是诱上盘;【庄家心态:早升是庄家对自己盘口的正常调整,晚升往往是在诱盘】
7 _& y8 Q( F; V; y1 G: l3 k+ [
4 X) I1 H1 e# v7 y2 S盘口开大(如半一中高水波动盘),临场维持中高水,上盘大胜可期;【庄家心态:有某个原因(这个很重要,如杯赛首回合强队主场被逼平;下盘球队近期状态大勇;下盘球队排名更靠前等等)不支持主队,庄家也顺应民心,实则是看好之举】
* M, v3 w3 u3 `# Q- H/ O5 Z
' a: u9 a5 Y, ^8 j1 ? O5 S# w, a0 z盘口开大,早降盘,只要临场上盘不热,庄家看好上盘,强队赢球反弹。
9 `, l- ?& R- q1 l/ B; d. ?
) Y, n- U+ }1 }) O下盘一定在赛前下注(下一球下盘,比下半一下盘更明智),走地盘只关注上盘机会(重点在于把握时机,滚球盘的升盘是带有很强信号的(红卡因素除外)。);6 Y4 T) n6 Z% z' ]
% ]5 o1 H' j# {$ z: p7 l; L q高开低走,易出冷平,低开高走易出冷零;/ C' C, D9 v" k1 i
9 [0 O5 s# h! W. U* p" Q滚球,重点关注SB和盈禾,并结合澳门;滚球适宜在开赛60分钟之前界入,75 85分钟之后,尽量少赶;
% _( s, z1 \1 H) [" i l$ e4 u! G+ L" H3 W$ l. |/ V, {' l L T
滚球中,SB和盈禾通常采用高水赶盘,大多数公司均半球满水盘,它却敢于半一134超高水,甚至更高;半一坚挺时间越久,对主队越有利,如坚挺过了中场休息,并且下半场开球还敢半一盘,上盘基本有球;半一坚挺30分钟以上,主队胜面较大,特别是澳门也同时坚挺,胜算更大;, h0 i2 S7 d1 _+ \9 _. q* e( p
d; Z5 `1 B6 m1 w. gSB和盈禾有时采用低水阻盘,大多数公司均半球中低水,SB和盈禾开出平半超低水,往往上盘大比分胜出 |
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