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XRP在盘整阶段交易后面临崩溃的风险，分析师预测可能跌至0.4319美元。各种市场指标的支持证据加强了对即将下跌的预测。
- L+ i0 {" ^9 E. L( ?在日线图上，Ripple[XRP]的表现一直不佳，这一趋势似乎将继续下去。它已经经历了1.71%的下降，预计还会进一步下降。
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- z9 O1 j4 ]: l Z+ W* v) ~+ EXRP合并可能导致崩溃
( ~. }, w) S( {$ N! y. ]2 b根据AMBCrypto的图表分析，XRP在一年多的时间里一直在规定的每日范围内进行整合，这一运动始于8月。# M" S# e& A9 s3 [$ m. v) ?8 l5 x
8 c1 I- k5 @' B# ]. V
巩固阶段通常代表积累期，价格在矩形的上下限之间波动，通常为重大崩溃或突破奠定基础。
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: u6 ^- o1 A8 g5 `0 Z, }7 r% X/ ?6 F截至本文撰写之时，XRP最近已从上限或阻力线反弹，并可能跌至通道底部，购买压力可能会推动其价格上涨，继续其振荡模式。
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然而，AMBCrypto报告称，抛售压力已经加剧，这表明下限或支撑线可能无法维持，这将导致资产价值进一步下跌。1 N+ j5 Z- L$ T2 B% `) s
5 h6 k3 U1 b" \& s6 Y4 i5 B供应地销售压力增加/ c# {! s) Y- M9 G" I2 A- ^ f
AMBCrypto使用Cryptoquant的数据进行的分析表明，XRP的交易所供应份额在过去24小时内显著增加，这表明其价格可能大幅下跌。2 _2 ?/ G$ b, u1 r/ }
+ H+ x3 [: P. r! r, ~这一增长表明代币在交易所的可用性更高，由于潜在卖家的涌入，其价格面临下行压力。3 [/ `6 _8 e# @4 h9 f+ T
& U- v% D* g# J* s+ R已经观察到供应量大幅增加，这通常是由于鲸鱼将大量XRP转移到交易所出售. p" Z! u1 q# t: e% Z
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最近，Lookonchain记录了一笔交易，一头鲸鱼在最近几个小时内移动了9500万XRP，相当于超过4900万美元，记录了更多的交易。/ S0 p9 j7 v% S0 M- H4 m- w
' j2 J3 f3 ^" V }) K% q此外，据Cryptoquant称，自本月初以来，XRP的交易所流入量稳步上升，进一步增加了交易所的总供应量。
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$ p% d S. Q6 `$ M6 p零售交易员的活动加剧了XRP的看跌走势
1 S; k5 T- m2 a% \( G W6 F3 Z4 \; I8 Z追踪未结算交易的Coinglass对未平仓合约（OI）的详细分析显示，未平仓合约大幅下降7.02%，至5.6397亿美元，这表明散户越来越活跃，可能会对XRP价格的下跌产生影响。
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/ N7 E& \+ T( N2 u- E% Z. k; ~7 p8 {这种看跌前景得到了抛物线SAR（止损和反转）指标的进一步支持。) S {! t" W$ M' z, I q
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抛物线SAR有助于识别潜在的价格反转和动量，由图表上价格条上方或下方的点标记。这些点的位置变化表明趋势发生了转变。
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