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[seodescription] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!<br /><a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/thread-51289-1-1.html" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜新人必看】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=33" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜规则】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=34" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜心得】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=100" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜问题咨询】</font></a>
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博彩就是博人性,其根原就在基本面。基本面是指每一场对赛两队球队所包含的一切综合实力的展现。分析基本面估算出该场球的实际综合实力与心理实力的差值.而这个实力也就是通常我们所指的实盘。结合庄家为该场球所开出的盘口作较对(初盘分析)再结合中期调整,(中盘分析)最后,临场分析。初盘与即时盘的结合体,就是解开一场球盘的关键所在。7 O" f& S8 P N b. |
/ ]: W% W/ V* u9 h& V/ v“盘无常盘,水无常形。”
. V+ G6 o6 V4 S+ o6 N5 e' p; u- n
% Y0 w4 G. x2 O“博者无他,争先术耳,故专者能之。”) p9 n2 B- J) ^, Y. Y2 T
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亚盘和欧赔结合分析法五步曲:
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; b2 Q, E6 ]+ k6 R1、赛事分析(赛事基本面分析,强调寻找“造热噱头”)
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4 g- H! k$ j( ?5 ]9 Z7 c# Q& d5 n" F重点推荐关注领域亚盘让球0.5 0.75 1,欧赔1.45~1.99区 一三三(冷0) 一三四(冷0)一三五(冷1)一三六(冷1)一四六(冷1)等赔率组合区。
3 ~$ b8 X+ D4 n5 R( g, |2 p& r3 Q% A% P
由于亚盘半球盘,半一盘,一球盘是风险区(赢球还可能输盘),在这个区间,亚盘更具有指导意义,而赔率只作为辅助研究;7 F8 k6 w9 \$ [$ Z
2 @6 b: p$ J* S6 s( j
2、主流博彩公司初盘分析。
7 ^8 g! t% X/ d$ P0 g" d- s* s
5 z0 }( |* N8 k! W重点研究盈禾(和SB相同),澳门、日博、立博、威廉,包括亚盘和赔率对比研究(欧亚转换)。英国赛事加上CORAL,德国赛事加上ODDSET,意大利赛事加上SNAI,西班牙赛事加上BWIN,亚洲赛事加上香港马会HKJC Football(天朝香港)
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7 ~- O! ~4 G1 z, t: _% S3、主流博彩公司临场分析(赛前一个小时或半小时前)。
8 m% f% \* i' |9 D% o
* I/ E* B \5 a+ @& ^' Q, p7 s" ]各家博彩公司意见是否统一,同家博彩公司欧亚转换是否统一,寻找差异。, V& ?$ ^7 @, E9 ^4 l# \( P+ E
% B" W; T9 }1 U; i- K; K( y! D) v. ]1 j4、结合基本面综合分析,得出方向。, o5 r. e8 X: o+ k) N( f0 ?8 K
5 Y2 h9 V$ V! a" `% oA盘口开大,不变盘,下盘大热,庄家看好上盘,诱下盘。 B盘口开大,临场降盘,下盘大热,庄家看好上盘,诱下盘。 C盘口开大,早中期降盘,调整盘口后,盘口合适(转盘口合适)。 D盘口开大,不变盘,降水至低水,上盘大热,市场预期看好上盘,庄家诱上盘。 E盘口开大,临场升盘,上盘大热,市场预期看好上盘,庄家诱上盘。 F盘口开大,早中期升盘,上盘大热,市场预期看好上盘,庄家诱上盘。 G盘口开小,不变盘,上盘大热。 H盘口开小,早中期升盘,调整盘口后,盘口合适(转盘口合适)。 I盘口开小,不变盘。 G盘口开小,临场升盘。 K盘口合适,不变盘,哪方受热哪方有难。 L盘口合适,临场降盘,减小上盘打出赔付,赢球赢盘。 M盘口合适,升盘热上盘。 N盘口合适,早期降盘,调整后,初盘开大(转盘口开大)。 O盘口合适,早期升盘,调整后,初盘开小(转盘口开小)
) s4 t5 M& G/ |' O8 {, f3 o. u1 _* X% c0 `! v# B8 A
5、时机的选择
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盘口开大【如赔率支持半球盘,亚盘却开出半一盘】(如半一中高水波动盘),临场降半球低水盘(赛前半小时内,越临近,上盘进球越快),果断界入上盘;[庄家心态:降低上盘打出赔付]3 v) |% y! n; p# P }
( u1 C( w5 q0 Z0 J& D, {
初盘中规中矩(半球盘或半一盘),要出上盘,升要早升,赛前才升,那是热升盘,往往是诱上盘;【庄家心态:早升是庄家对自己盘口的正常调整,晚升往往是在诱盘】* E% u. j7 I c- q
3 b+ }( _6 {; s) G/ l
盘口开大(如半一中高水波动盘),临场维持中高水,上盘大胜可期;【庄家心态:有某个原因(这个很重要,如杯赛首回合强队主场被逼平;下盘球队近期状态大勇;下盘球队排名更靠前等等)不支持主队,庄家也顺应民心,实则是看好之举】1 a# F5 S$ S8 i9 w; c( g0 v
2 b. g% W2 A0 ~1 C& {& K盘口开大,早降盘,只要临场上盘不热,庄家看好上盘,强队赢球反弹。5 G$ T9 j' B3 o+ `
. X) p7 f7 G: H/ H' S
下盘一定在赛前下注(下一球下盘,比下半一下盘更明智),走地盘只关注上盘机会(重点在于把握时机,滚球盘的升盘是带有很强信号的(红卡因素除外)。);
) U3 o3 q0 P+ S b$ K
! a) K* r! ^: Y. `高开低走,易出冷平,低开高走易出冷零;
; m# L* M( b# Z A. E1 E. o0 o" f" X7 c+ u6 i7 t% m* d
滚球,重点关注SB和盈禾,并结合澳门;滚球适宜在开赛60分钟之前界入,75 85分钟之后,尽量少赶;2 V) y: s3 U% v* \- u {( b6 W3 ~
6 X3 F; ?7 Y# P u& Q) b
滚球中,SB和盈禾通常采用高水赶盘,大多数公司均半球满水盘,它却敢于半一134超高水,甚至更高;半一坚挺时间越久,对主队越有利,如坚挺过了中场休息,并且下半场开球还敢半一盘,上盘基本有球;半一坚挺30分钟以上,主队胜面较大,特别是澳门也同时坚挺,胜算更大;
! f7 C1 x% ?" ~6 l# D" R" }" f# @
+ E+ \' ~% c0 KSB和盈禾有时采用低水阻盘,大多数公司均半球中低水,SB和盈禾开出平半超低水,往往上盘大比分胜出 |
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