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[lastpost] => 2691565 肖风：川普支持加密货币或成天朝数位资产市场复苏契机！ 1731734450 rainwang
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当前离线
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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；( x& o! V5 u* k* @2 D2 n8 s; R
尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ；
# m4 h' b Q# M t9 [比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；
) L g6 q5 M7 g0 I# E: w# E4 B
2 p! ?3 I+ O. U3 o) \根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；. L2 @+ ^) ~% v
0 d+ Y. ?$ I- M% @在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；
1 j, X2 ]) y7 F5 d+ `
: L( R! a# t; F下一步BTC上涨？
( G' j% [, T' G( { @. f% a# v采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；3 j# Q& U* A# |) f4 q
( [3 Z+ w0 G9 u此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ；( A2 [9 [2 q2 f
1 B# A: U7 }% n K( y! D
尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。
- `- W+ C8 D. B+ `" R0 c3 R) u. F) f: Z6 H6 h, K9 m4 ~0 {" I: B
Blockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；$ S+ s# b2 G* l( X3 q& v
6 Q% o3 ^& J' \0 v {* p) c“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：
8 _) A; q- X+ Y5 x; ^( c# @3 Q; y3 b& D7 v. h$ f5 V9 N0 s7 T
另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；8 F+ s2 }% c$ K4 P# \
+ v0 y: h8 n8 z自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；0 }/ Q$ m0 p$ }( G
& @/ k# t" {! U8 u7 m: z有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。) G& p9 _2 B* o
: b+ a9 e1 ^9 I* O1 K3 ]" Q; a7 J! s在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,) K6 \1 |+ X$ `0 x6 y0 O# Q
! x' L7 A4 V" ^6 o: H4 [0 Z8 M“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；' k8 r" s) c: ^% G8 B" S! v6 J1 S. ^9 R- Z
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