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[体育菠菜心得方法] 体育菠菜论系列(九)
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博球论系列(9)是整个博球论系列的最后一篇。一个中国足球迷的06年的世界杯记忆都不会少了八分之一决赛意大利-澳大利亚,格罗索在临近90分钟时获得了一个点球时,黄健翔那完全失控的解说。对于黄健翔那一刻的失控,有人指出,事实的内幕其实是因为黄健翔在意大利身上压了重注的缘故,只有意大利赢了才能够获得巨额回报,因为足球博彩通常只是针对常规时间赛果的。
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# ^% Q* k) k: e- s( _% ^其实,我本人也是艺术足球的支持者,喜欢AC米兰巴塞罗那曼联,皇马外加切尔西五个俱乐部;也喜欢巴西阿根廷法国,意大利,荷兰五支国家队。从客观的角度来说,意大利国家队在二战后的历届世界杯上的总体表现比不上巴西和德国,在历届欧锦赛上的总体表现比不上德国和法国。意甲球队在代表目前世界水平最高的俱乐部赛事欧洲冠军杯上,11次夺冠,但西甲同样11次夺冠,英超则10次夺冠,在短期内这三大联赛很难分出谁强谁弱,从联赛的商业运作和赛场氛围来看意甲还落后英超很多,从联赛内部竞争的激烈程度,意甲的中上游球队也比不上西甲的中上游球队。
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& s6 u  I0 O4 {站在最重要的角度看意大利联赛,无论是普通球迷还是足球博彩人士,对消极比赛都是深恶痛绝的,因为这样的比赛毫无观赏价值,也没有好的投注机会和价值,对于比赛结果双方心照不宣,博彩公司在赛前开出的欧洲赔率(平均值)也是特别不正常,举例说明:; _$ o$ y' K# z; q* F( `+ U

5 C; }/ x) ?$ W. W; |- m$ R/ d, \04—05赛季34轮卡利亚里1比1雷吉纳,,主胜2.61,和局1.87,客胜5.58
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- M0 [+ r  ^" e( |9 b35轮雷吉纳1比1博洛尼亚,,主胜3.35,和局1.60,客胜5.63  t. H( [0 Y7 `; P6 G0 x/ Z

5 m1 s6 ]* H, d+ y卡利亚里0比0巴勒莫,,主胜3.34,和局1.70,客胜4.67; }4 @' {. |1 c" Q

8 ~/ |; @( T7 y! m$ ?6 g36轮罗马0比0拉齐奥,,,主胜3.08,和局1.86,客胜4.19; ^* K4 N# a5 P' T* j3 \
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巴勒莫1比1雷吉纳,,,主胜2.69,和局1.79,客胜5.99
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3 }- ^7 Z& v2 a! g37轮雷吉纳2比2莱切,,,主胜4.15,和局1.44,客胜7.49
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38轮罗马0比0切沃,,,,主胜4.30,和局1.85,客胜3.18. @  V+ k: W& G/ s4 [4 }

8 p- f7 ?7 h! i, i, H+ S巴勒莫3比3拉齐奥,,,主胜4.28,和局1.45,客胜6.17% g# Z, G+ `' y# E# x# h: s0 Z9 `
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05—06赛季36轮桑普多利亚1比1乌迪内,主胜3.01,和局1.71,客胜4.88) p* X/ Z9 E- h7 T+ P2 S1 o
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06—07赛季37轮都灵0比0利禾奴,,,,主胜3.05,和局1.49,客胜8.70! o2 F' Z# y6 P; t- [4 \  r

! g( J3 @7 I; P+ R5 f" W1 i8 u3 e只要看得懂欧洲赔率的球迷朋友就会明白我提供的这组赔率数据意味着什么,这是赤裸裸的消极比赛,默契球,这只是冰山一角,在意大利乙级联赛中类似这种赔率的比赛也比比皆是。对于那些熟悉和精通欧洲赔率的朋友,在其它联赛中,你根本就找不到类似这种赔率的比赛。
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试想,一个到处充斥着消极比赛和默契球的联赛,再加上06年暴出的“电话门”丑闻,还有什么资格谈优秀,还有什么脸面讲最强?
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2 z2 N+ q) B8 ^6 l! X尽管AC米兰在红色的五月再一次问鼎欧洲冠军杯,尽管我是AC米兰的铁杆球迷,但罗纳尔多是个超级大灾星,他的大嘴会严重影响球队的团结,每当他离开一个俱乐部之后,就会马上攻击前俱乐部(尤其是教练),说自己是无辜的,球队成绩不好是俱乐部官员和教练的责任。本人一针见血地指出:作为一个顶级职业球员,他只获得过一次联赛冠军(03年皇马),冠军杯连决赛都没有进过。而世界杯因为代表国家队比赛,蒙住了大部分球迷朋友的眼睛,其实那只是属于业余性质的比赛,完全靠临场发挥,流畅的战术配合是相当少见的,一支全年只打几场比赛的国家队说穿了只是乌合之众,11个大牌球员拼凑而成的国家队会让99%的球迷朋友迷失方向,剩下那1%的清醒波友就是长期成功赢盘的人+ @5 v; ~5 ?2 W; B" T; `
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