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[lastpost] => 2688262 Anthony Scaramucci断言比特币在此期间将以17.6万美元的价格交易（转） 1731736702 rainwang
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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；
0 R( L% ?1 E1 ]2 ?) \1 u7 o. J尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ；
0 ]( ?1 h" w& ~, i. ?% \4 X0 R比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；: `1 t6 [7 w* @8 v- u- r, U' g, I
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根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；
! [* C, b2 T: n8 G7 b. ?2 n) t# b, e& V7 [
在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；8 Y0 d/ ]8 F' C8 Q F
8 y4 d! N! j0 P- K9 W. k- T3 e下一步BTC上涨？
4 [. C0 _1 t$ B: m* A- c( B4 ^* l采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；
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( |1 a- E1 P. [5 b9 ~ W. O; h此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ；8 p: Q" ^. Q; V" V
% N6 @: P6 x6 k g* N% L尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。
; ^% Q; O+ {- S% j/ h' ~% e A& z4 u }, n1 E* ?3 ^" O1 U) K5 {+ `) {+ Y
Blockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；
7 P# G% {$ D& R; Q! j, s7 u! W5 c+ U; i+ H2 j
“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：
# z7 ?# y7 C* p8 F
& U* `+ K3 B [, t& Z/ e. s8 ~另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；, J2 @; G0 }. r$ n' U% u5 e$ j
7 f1 j* f. O, B, D1 P7 J自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；
, V$ q+ I8 N# h; {5 f2 ^+ k& C+ _0 n% M: w9 E' i* L
有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。
4 N" j$ g$ n+ W/ J. I! L( W
2 t: ]! j; `, o& q3 Y1 q5 v在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,
) f9 U9 B8 X4 w2 @( y! h+ Q8 F- J; Q2 Z
“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；
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